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Major League Players Minor League Players Danny Valencia 2010 - 2014 Yu Darvish 2012 - 2014 Hisashi Iwakuma 2012 - 2014 Trevor car hire rental london uk saab Bauer 2012 - 2014 Aroldis Chapman 2010 - 2014 Marcus Stroman 2014 - 2014 Rubby de la Rosa 2011 - 2014 Vance Worley 2010 - 2014 Josh Beckett 2001 - 2014 Nick Martinez 2014 - 2014 Josh Murray 8/12/1984 Jon Denney 9/28/1994 Rafael De Paula 3/24/1991 Nick Wittgren 5/29/1991 Javier Baez 12/1/1992 Joc Pederson car hire rental london uk saab 4/21/1992 Noah Syndergaard 8/29/1992 Kris Bryant 1/4/1992 Corey Seager 4/27/1994 Jeremy Kivel 10/16/1993 List All Players by Letter
FanGraphs Introducing InstaGraphs FanGraphs Audio: Dave Cameron Analyzes car hire rental london uk saab All Trade Deadline Aroldis Chapman's Taking a Break From His Changeup The Cost of Moving Matt Kemp RotoGraphs Mike Napoli's Alright, Isn't He? Brad Hand & Daniel Nava: Deep League Waiver Wire NotGraphs Found at In-Laws: Article from 1994 About French Baseball Hopeless car hire rental london uk saab Joe Reacts to the End of NotGraphs Community Research Projecting the Mariners FanGraphs+ Royals Most Likely To Make A Mistake How Garrett Richards Became A Star
AL Games TOR (14) @ BOS (1) Final MIL (1) @ TBR (2) Final NYY (2) @ TEX (4) Final OAK (3) @ HOU (7) Final NL Games SDP (0) @ ATL (2) Final COL (1) @ CHC (4) Final ARI (2) @ CIN (1) F - 15th WSN (6) @ MIA (7) Final PHI (1) @ NYM (7) Final PIT (5) @ SFG (0) Final
AL East Orioles 58 46 ---- Blue Jays 57 50 2.5 Yankees 54 51 4.5 Rays 52 54 7.0 Red Sox 48 58 11.0 AL Central Tigers 57 45 ---- Royals 53 51 5.0 Indians 52 53 6.5 White Sox 51 55 8.0 Twins 47 57 11.0 AL West Athletics 65 40 ---- Angels 63 41 1.5 Mariners 54 51 11.0 Astros 43 63 22.5 Rangers 42 64 23.5 NL East Nationals 57 46 ---- Braves 58 48 0.5 Marlins 52 53 6.0 Mets 51 55 7.5 Phillies 46 60 12.5 NL Central Brewers 59 48 ---- Cardinals 56 48 1.5 Pirates 56 49 2.0 Reds 52 53 6.0 Cubs 43 61 14.5 NL West Dodgers car hire rental london uk saab 59 47 ---- Giants 57 49 2.0 Padres 46 59 12.5 D-backs 46 60 13.0 Rockies 43 62 15.5
The Red Sox and Giants struck a Saturday morning near-trading deadline special, with Jake Peavy headed west in exchange for pitching prospects Edwin Escobar and Heath Hembree car hire rental london uk saab , with the clubs splitting Peavy s $5M remaining 2014 salary. As with most of this month s trades to date, real, actual, solid prospects were netted by the selling club. In this case, they re both pretty close to big league ready. Before anyone rushes car hire rental london uk saab to call this a clear win for the Giants Peavy is 1-9, 4.72, for the season, after all let s take a closer look at what the Giants are getting, and how Peavy fits into his new environment.
Truth be told, post-peak Jake Peavy was never a particularly good fit in Fenway Park. He has always been a fairly extreme fly ball pitcher, and that in general is not a good thing to be in that environment. Utilizing car hire rental london uk saab my own 2013 park factors, based on granular batted ball data, Fenway car hire rental london uk saab had the second highest fly ball park factor, at a whopping 151.1. It s been ever worse in 2014, at 165.5. Routine fly balls often become doubles in Fenway. Overall, including all batted ball types, Fenway had the highest doubles park factor in 2013, at 125.
The environment that Peavy is headed to is much, much different. In 2013, AT T Park had the 3rd LOWEST fly ball park factor at 76.0, and thus far in 2014, it has been even lower, at 62.3. There is virtually zero chance to hit the ball out of the park to the right of center field, unless you drive it right down the line.
If you took all of Peavy s 2013 fly balls allowed, and put half of them in Fenway Park, he would have allowed a .310 AVG-.870 SLG, 130 production relative to the MLB average. Put those same fly balls into AT T Park, and it drops to .286 AVG-.777 SLG. This is not an insignificant difference. Thus far in 2014, Peavy has already allowed a whopping 31 doubles, 11 of them on fly balls. He has allowed a .298 AVG-.847 SLG on fly balls, 126 production relative to the league. Expect that figure to drop down to near MLB average from now through season s end.
There s some other positive regression car hire rental london uk saab that should be coming due for the Giants. Hitters are batting .778 AVG-1.159 SLG on line drives allowed by Peavy so far this season, way above the MLB average of .662 AVG-.874 car hire rental london uk saab SLG. Let s not go crazy here this is post-peak Peavy after all, a guy with slightly below MLB average K and BB rates, not the gaudy figures he put up back in his salad days with the Padres. He is way better than what his traditional numbers say he is this season, however he is a massive car hire rental london uk saab popup generator (11.9%), and his stuff, while not what it used to be, has not deteriorated materially.
He has been a solid if somewhat car hire rental london uk saab unspectacular contact manager throughout his career his career unadjusted contact car hire rental london uk saab score, the production he has allowed on batted balls, unadjusted for context, is 93.1, well better than league average. The Giants are getting what should be in their ballpark an average to slightly above average major league starter, who has been through the postseason wars recently, and has a great deal of experience pitching in NL West ballparks. This is a good fit for them, and in the NL s wild seven teams for six spots pennant race, he slots right into the spot vacated by the injured Matt Cain in the rotation. The difference between Yusmeiro Petit and Jake Peavy the rest of the way could be the difference between the wild card and going home, or the difference between car hire rental london uk saab a one-game wild card lottery ticket and an NL West title.
Now let s take a look at the Red Sox return. Escobar, 22, is the key piece here. Again, don t sweat the traditional stats he s 2-8, 5.11, at Triple-A Fresno. In fact, the key stats for Escobar are his age and his level of competition. Each season, I compile an ordered list of minor league position player and starting pitcher prospects based on a sliding scale of production and age relative to level of competition. Escobar car hire rental london uk saab has fared extremely car hire rental london uk saab well on this list, ranking #60 in 2012, #10 in 2013 and #46 at midseason 2014. While this is more of a follow list than anything else I don t get overly caught up in the exact rankings I do now have 22 years of history to draw upon, and to see where current major leaguers ranked when they were prospects. The closest active matches to Escobar car hire rental london uk saab are:
Oh, and just for fun, Jake Peavy had 3 years in the Top 11, and peaked at #3. Escobar has an above average fastball for a lefty, his changeup flashes above average, and his slider should be an average pitch at the major league level. He has struggled car hire rental london uk saab mightily against the opposite hand this season, for the first time in his pro career. If he can overcome this, he should be a contender for a rotation slot in Boston as soon as next spring. He could be what they thought car hire rental london uk saab they were getting in Felix Doubront , a solid mid-rotation starter.
Hembree, 25, is a little less exciting, but is what he is a big man with a big arm, with a slider that can be filthy to righties. He is a born and bred reliever going back to his college days, a one inning per outing guy who has now been at Triple-A Fresno for the better part of three seasons, cracking the Giants pen only briefly. He s not likely to be a future MLB closer, and will need to figure out a way to get big league lefties out he s given up 33 baserunners in 14 2/3 innings against them in Fresno this season. That said, he has the raw materials to become a Matt Albers / Scott Atchison car hire rental london uk saab type for Boston, a 7th inning guy who will get righties out.
It isn t either of these two clubs first trading deadline rodeo three very large pieces of hardware have been won by them in the very recent past. The Giants understand how precarious their playoff perch is at present, and how Peavy should fit better in their home environment. They don t have a loaded system, but pitching car hire rental london uk saab is their strong suit, and while Escobar is now gone, Kyle Crick , Adalberto Mejia and Clayton Blackburn remain. The Red Sox haven t totally given up in the thoroughly mediocre AL East, but they knew a solid offer when they saw one, realize Peavy isn t a perfect fit in Fenway, and can now give some talented young hurlers who are better car hire rental london uk saab fits a late-season opportunity. Kudos to both clubs on this one.
I don t see that much difference between Yusmeiro Petit and Peavy. Over the remaining 59 games which count equal 11 starts, I don t think the difference is even 1 win. ZIPS has him at .8 WAR ROS over 10 starts and Steamer has .5 WAR over 9 starts. Petit is at a minimum replacement level and likely a tick above.
Edwin Escobar may be struggling this year, but he is only 22 years old in AAA and produced ERAs under 3 in both Low A, High A, and AA while being young for the leagues (also with great strikeout rates, low walk rates, and low homerun rates). He may not be a top 100 prospect anymore, but he has sustained his stuff and is still a good prospect. Embree is nothing special, but still better than your average minor league relief prospect I guess.
? Having a good long reliever to help after meltdowns? If the meltdown happened, then the game is over you just need someone tossing innings or else you would see better pitchers land in the long reliever spot.
Just a thought Since the Sox are not going to the playoffs this year and they are unlikely to overpay for Lester s decline years, they are essentially weighing whether other teams offers for Lester outweigh draft pick compensation.
Seattle seems like a match for Lester. They need another starter, and they have talent to spare in their system. Chris Taylor and Tyler Kelley would be a quality return for a couple months of Lester. Seattle would not need to give up Taiwan Walker or James Paxton.
If you were an actual fan like, one for more than a couple of years, you would know that Lester is going nowhere because no team is going to pay more than the supplemental plus huge goodwill lost by the SOX for him. We re talking Buxton and Tavares in a multi-team trade here.
Yeah, I paid attention as they massively overpaid to keep Papelbon. Oh wait, they didn t do that. I paid att